UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

women Assumption 2
  
Assumption            
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 90.8501

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A American International Northeast 10 ( 2-14, 78.2) 16- 2 305 A Mercy East Coast (10- 7, 92.6) 4-15 308 A West Chester PSAC (18- 0, 98.2) 11-17 313 A Dominican (NY) CACC (18- 1, 95.8) 10-14 316 A Roberts Wesleyan East Coast ( 7- 8, 89.9) 16-13 322 A Bentley Northeast 10 (10- 6, 92.6) 9-13 329 H New Haven Northeast 10 (12- 5, 94.8) 7-17 402 H Pace Northeast 10 (16- 4, 95.4) 6-20 405 H St Michaels Northeast 10 ( 6-10, 87.0) 16- 5 408 A Adelphi Northeast 10 (16- 3, 94.8) 6-18 414 H Southern Connecticut Northeast 10 ( 9- 8, 90.4) 14-12 416 H St Anselm Northeast 10 (12- 6, 92.7) 9-10 419 A Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 8- 9, 90.9) 10-14 423 A Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 3-11, 85.3) 17- 8 426 A New Haven Northeast 10 (12- 5, 94.8) 14-13 430 A Adelphi Northeast 10 (16- 3, 94.8) 9-15

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A American International 16- 2      14    12           0.00
   305 A Mercy                   4-15     -11    -2    -     -2.67
   308 A West Chester           11-17      -6    -8           0.00
   313 A Dominican (NY)         10-14      -4    -6           1.00
   316 A Roberts Wesleyan       16-13       3     0    +      2.59
   322 A Bentley                 9-13      -4    -2          -1.75
   329 H New Haven               7-17     -10    -3          -1.56
   402 H Pace                    6-20     -14    -4          -1.03
   405 H St Michaels            16- 5      11     4           0.55
   408 A Adelphi                 6-18     -12    -4          -0.50
   414 H Southern Connecticut   14-12       2     1           0.96
   416 H St Anselm               9-10      -1    -1           0.26
   419 A Southern New Hampshire 10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.39
   423 A Franklin Pierce        17- 8       9     5           0.00
   426 A New Haven              14-13       1    -5    ++     5.54
   430 A Adelphi                 9-15      -6    -4          -0.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   305 A Mercy                   4-15     -11    -2    -     -2.67
   419 A Southern New Hampshire 10-14      -4    -1    -     -3.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A New Haven              14-13       1    -5    ++     5.54
   316 A Roberts Wesleyan       16-13       3     0    +      2.59

Assumption Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi Adelphi  
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville   Alabama-Huntsville
American International Assumption Assumption  
Anderson (SC) Assumption   Assumption
Ashland Assumption   Assumption
Barton Assumption   Assumption
Belmont Abbey Assumption   Assumption
Bentley Bentley Bentley  
Bloomsburg Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Bridgeport Assumption Assumption   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Caldwell Assumption Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Catawba Assumption   Assumption
Charleston Assumption   Assumption
Chestnut Hill Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Chowan Assumption   Assumption
Coker Assumption   Assumption
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa   Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Assumption   Assumption
Concordia-St Paul Assumption   Assumption
Converse Assumption   Assumption
CSU-Pueblo Assumption   Assumption
D'Youville Assumption Assumption   4- 4 vs 2- 6
Daemen Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Assumption
Davenport Assumption   Assumption
Davis & Elkins Assumption   Assumption
District of Columbia Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Assumption
Dominican (CA) Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY)  
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) East Stroudsburg
Edinboro Assumption   Assumption
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Assumption   Assumption
Emory & Henry Assumption   Assumption
Felician Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Assumption
Findlay Assumption   Assumption
Flagler Flagler   Flagler
Florida Southern Florida Southern Florida Southern   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Florida Tech Florida Tech   Florida Tech
Fort Lewis Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Assumption
Franklin Pierce Assumption Assumption  
Frostburg State Assumption   Assumption
Gannon Assumption   Assumption
Georgian Court Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) Assumption
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State   Grand Valley State
Holy Family Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Assumption
Indiana (PA) Assumption   Assumption
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown Kutztown   3- 1 vs 1- 4
Lake Erie Assumption   Assumption
Lander Lander   Lander
Lee Assumption   Assumption
Lees-McRae Assumption   Assumption
Lenoir-Rhyne Assumption   Assumption
Lewis Assumption   Assumption
Limestone Limestone   Limestone
Lincoln Memorial Assumption   Assumption
Lock Haven Assumption   Assumption
Lynn Lynn   Lynn
Malone Assumption   Assumption
Mars Hill Assumption   Assumption
Maryville Maryville   Maryville
McKendree Assumption   Assumption
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Millersville Millersville insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Millersville
Missouri Western Assumption   Assumption
Molloy Assumption Assumption   3- 5 vs 1- 6
Montevallo Assumption   Assumption
Mount Olive Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Assumption
New Haven New Haven New Haven   8- 3 vs 4- 7
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Assumption   Assumption
Northern Michigan Assumption   Assumption
Northwood Assumption   Assumption
Pace Pace Pace  
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic   Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Quincy Assumption   Assumption
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Assumption Assumption  
Rockhurst Assumption   Assumption
Rollins Rollins insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Assumption   Assumption
Seton Hill Seton Hill tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Seton Hill
Shepherd Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Shippensburg Shippensburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shippensburg
Shorter Assumption   Assumption
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Assumption Assumption  
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire  
Southern Wesleyan Assumption   Assumption
St Anselm St Anselm St Anselm  
St Leo St Leo tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Leo
St Michaels Assumption Assumption  
St Thomas Aquinas Assumption Assumption   3- 2 vs 0- 5
Tampa Tampa Tampa   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Thomas Jefferson Assumption tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Assumption
Thomas More Assumption   Assumption
Tiffin Assumption   Assumption
Tusculum Assumption   Assumption
Ursuline Assumption   Assumption
UVA Wise Assumption   Assumption
Virginia State Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Walsh Assumption   Assumption
West Chester West Chester West Chester  
West Virginia Wesleyan Assumption   Assumption
Westminster (UT) Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Assumption
Wheeling Assumption   Assumption
William Jewell Assumption   Assumption
Wilmington (DE) Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Assumption   Assumption

PowerWise = 77


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A American Inter  ( 2-14, 78.2)    16- 2      -21.67       9.52       0.55         1.01            10.17
   0 A Mercy           (10- 7, 92.6)     4-15       -7.27      23.91       0.55         1.01            -6.79
   0 A West Chester    (18- 0, 98.2)    11-17       -1.68      29.51       0.55         1.01            -1.13
   0 A Dominican (NY)  (18- 1, 95.8)    10-14       -4.05      27.13       0.55         1.01            -3.54
   0 A Roberts Wesley  ( 7- 8, 89.9)    16-13      -10.02      21.16       0.55         1.01            21.93
   0 A Bentley         (10- 6, 92.6)     9-13       -7.35      23.83       0.55         1.01            -6.86
   0 H New Haven       (12- 5, 94.8)     7-17       -5.06      26.12      -0.55         1.01            -5.67
   0 H Pace            (16- 4, 95.4)     6-20       -4.52      26.66      -0.55         1.01            -5.13
   0 H St Michaels     ( 6-10, 87.0)    16- 5      -12.94      18.24      -0.55         1.01            17.86
   0 A Adelphi         (16- 3, 94.8)     6-18       -5.11      26.07       0.55         1.01            -4.60
   0 H Southern Conne  ( 9- 8, 90.4)    14-12       -9.54      21.64      -0.55         1.01            21.30
   0 H St Anselm       (12- 6, 92.7)     9-10       -7.23      23.95      -0.55         1.01            -7.87
   0 A Southern New H  ( 8- 9, 90.9)    10-14       -8.99      22.19       0.55         1.01            -8.52
   0 A Franklin Pierc  ( 3-11, 85.3)    17- 8      -14.60      16.58       0.55         1.01            17.30
   0 A New Haven       (12- 5, 94.8)    14-13       -5.06      26.12       0.55         1.01            26.94
   0 A Adelphi         (16- 3, 94.8)     9-15       -5.11      26.07       0.55         1.01            -4.60
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        60.81

winning pts = 115.5115 losing points = -54.7032

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------