Assumption 
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 84.2370
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
228 H Mercy East Coast (10- 2, 90.6) 11-13
303 A Florida Tech Sunshine ( 5- 9, 90.3) 4-19
305 A St Leo Sunshine (12- 3, 95.0) 5-21
308 H Roberts Wesleyan East Coast ( 3- 8, 84.0) 11-10
311 H American International Northeast 10 ( 1-10, 72.5) 16- 5
314 H West Chester PSAC (11- 2, 93.3) 7-17
321 H Bentley Northeast 10 ( 5- 6, 87.4) 7-14
331 A St Michaels Northeast 10 ( 2-10, 82.8) 9-10
404 H Adelphi Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 92.0) 8-14
408 A Pace Northeast 10 ( 9- 4, 91.5) 2-19
411 A Southern Connecticut Northeast 10 (10- 2, 88.7)
415 A St Anselm Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 88.7)
418 H Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 5- 7, 85.2)
421 H Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 4- 8, 84.0)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 H Mercy 11-13 -2 -6 + 3.00
303 A Florida Tech 4-19 -15 -6 0.00
305 A St Leo 5-21 -16 -11 0.00
308 H Roberts Wesleyan 11-10 1 1 0.32
311 H American International 16- 5 11 12 0.00
314 H West Chester 7-17 -10 -9 0.00
321 H Bentley 7-14 -7 -3 - -2.21
331 A St Michaels 9-10 -1 1 - -2.06
404 H Adelphi 8-14 -6 -7 0.00
408 A Pace 2-19 -17 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Bentley 7-14 -7 -3 - -2.21
331 A St Michaels 9-10 -1 1 - -2.06
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
228 H Mercy 11-13 -2 -6 + 3.00
|
Assumption Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
| Adelphi |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
 
| |
| Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Alabama-Huntsville |
| American International |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Anderson (SC) |
Anderson (SC) |
|
 
| Anderson (SC) |
| Ashland |
Ashland |
|
 
| Ashland |
| Barton |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Belmont Abbey |
Belmont Abbey |
|
 
| Belmont Abbey |
| Bentley |
Bentley |
Bentley |
 
| |
| Bloomsburg |
Bloomsburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Bloomsburg |
| Bridgeport |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Caldwell |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Catawba |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Charleston |
Charleston |
|
 
| Charleston |
| Chestnut Hill |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Chowan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Coker |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Colorado Mesa |
| Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
|
 
| Colorado-Colorado Spring |
| Concordia-St Paul |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Converse |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| CSU-Pueblo |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| D'Youville |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
| Daemen |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Davenport |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Davis & Elkins |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| District of Columbia |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
| Dominican (CA) |
Dominican (CA) |
|
 
| Dominican (CA) |
| Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Dominican (NY) |
| East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
East Stroudsburg   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Edinboro |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
| Emmanuel (GA) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Emory & Henry |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Felician |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Assumption |
| Findlay |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Flagler |
Flagler |
|
Flagler   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Florida Southern |
| Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
 
| |
| Fort Lewis |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Franklin Pierce |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
Assumption |
| Frostburg State |
Frostburg State |
|
 
| Frostburg State |
| Gannon |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Georgian Court |
Georgian Court |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Georgian Court |
| Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Grand Valley State |
| Holy Family |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Indiana (PA) |
Indiana (PA) |
|
 
| Indiana (PA) |
| Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
 
| Indianapolis |
| Kutztown |
Kutztown |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) |
Kutztown |
| Lake Erie |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lander |
Lander |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lander |
| Lee |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
| Lees-McRae |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
|
 
| Lenoir-Rhyne |
| Lewis |
Lewis |
|
 
| Lewis |
| Limestone |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lincoln Memorial |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Lock Haven |
Lock Haven |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Lock Haven |
| Lynn |
Lynn |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Lynn |
| Malone |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Mars Hill |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Maryville |
Maryville |
|
 
| Maryville |
| McKendree |
McKendree |
|
 
| McKendree |
| Mercy |
Mercy |
Mercy |
 
| |
| Millersville |
Millersville |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Millersville |
| Missouri Western |
Missouri Western |
|
 
| Missouri Western |
| Molloy |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Assumption |
| Montevallo |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
| Mount Olive |
Mount Olive |
|
 
| Mount Olive |
| New Haven |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
| North Greenville |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Northern Michigan |
Northern Michigan |
|
 
| Northern Michigan |
| Northwood |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Pace |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
| Post |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Quincy |
Quincy |
|
 
| Quincy |
| Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Regis (CO) |
| Roberts Wesleyan |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
| Rockhurst |
Rockhurst |
|
 
| Rockhurst |
| Rollins |
Rollins |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Rollins |
| Saginaw Valley State |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
 
| Seton Hill |
| Shepherd |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
| Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Shippensburg |
| Shorter |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Slippery Rock |
| Southern Connecticut |
Southern Connecticut |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) |
Southern Connecticut |
| Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
Southern New Hampshire |
| Southern Wesleyan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| St Anselm |
St Anselm |
|
St Anselm   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
| St Leo |
St Leo |
St Leo |
 
| |
| St Michaels |
St Michaels |
St Michaels |
 
| |
| St Thomas Aquinas |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
| Tampa |
Tampa |
|
Tampa   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
| Thomas Jefferson |
Thomas Jefferson |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Thomas Jefferson |
| Thomas More |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Tiffin |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Tusculum |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Ursuline |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| UVA Wise |
UVA Wise |
|
 
| UVA Wise |
| Virginia State |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Walsh |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| West Chester |
West Chester |
West Chester |
 
| |
| West Virginia Wesleyan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Westminster (UT) |
Westminster (UT) |
|
 
| Westminster (UT) |
| Wheeling |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| William Jewell |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
| Wilmington (DE) |
Wilmington (DE) |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Wilmington (DE) |
| Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
| Young Harris |
Young Harris |
|
 
| Young Harris |
PowerWise = 53

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Mercy (10- 2, 90.6) 11-13 -9.25 23.94 -0.41 1.10 -10.66
0 A Florida Tech ( 5- 9, 90.3) 4-19 -9.60 23.59 0.41 1.10 -10.14
0 A St Leo (12- 3, 95.0) 5-21 -4.95 28.24 0.41 1.10 -5.01
0 H Roberts Wesley ( 3- 8, 84.0) 11-10 -15.94 17.25 -0.41 1.10 18.59
0 H American Inter ( 1-10, 72.5) 16- 5 -27.45 5.74 -0.41 1.10 5.89
0 H West Chester (11- 2, 93.3) 7-17 -6.63 26.56 -0.41 1.10 -7.76
0 H Bentley ( 5- 6, 87.4) 7-14 -12.46 20.73 -0.41 1.10 -14.20
0 A St Michaels ( 2-10, 82.8) 9-10 -17.13 16.06 0.41 1.10 -18.46
0 H Adelphi ( 8- 4, 92.0) 8-14 -7.92 25.27 -0.41 1.10 -9.19
0 A Pace ( 9- 4, 91.5) 2-19 -8.41 24.78 0.41 1.10 -8.84
------
-59.78
|
winning pts = 24.4807 losing points = -84.2612
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------