Assumption 
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 90.8501
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
225 A American International Northeast 10 ( 2-14, 78.2) 16- 2
305 A Mercy East Coast (10- 7, 92.6) 4-15
308 A West Chester PSAC (18- 0, 98.2) 11-17
313 A Dominican (NY) CACC (18- 1, 95.8) 10-14
316 A Roberts Wesleyan East Coast ( 7- 8, 89.9) 16-13
322 A Bentley Northeast 10 (10- 6, 92.6) 9-13
329 H New Haven Northeast 10 (12- 5, 94.8) 7-17
402 H Pace Northeast 10 (16- 4, 95.4) 6-20
405 H St Michaels Northeast 10 ( 6-10, 87.0) 16- 5
408 A Adelphi Northeast 10 (16- 3, 94.8) 6-18
414 H Southern Connecticut Northeast 10 ( 9- 8, 90.4) 14-12
416 H St Anselm Northeast 10 (12- 6, 92.7) 9-10
419 A Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 8- 9, 90.9) 10-14
423 A Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 3-11, 85.3) 17- 8
426 A New Haven Northeast 10 (12- 5, 94.8) 14-13
430 A Adelphi Northeast 10 (16- 3, 94.8) 9-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A American International 16- 2 14 12 0.00
305 A Mercy 4-15 -11 -2 - -2.67
308 A West Chester 11-17 -6 -8 0.00
313 A Dominican (NY) 10-14 -4 -6 1.00
316 A Roberts Wesleyan 16-13 3 0 + 2.59
322 A Bentley 9-13 -4 -2 -1.75
329 H New Haven 7-17 -10 -3 -1.56
402 H Pace 6-20 -14 -4 -1.03
405 H St Michaels 16- 5 11 4 0.55
408 A Adelphi 6-18 -12 -4 -0.50
414 H Southern Connecticut 14-12 2 1 0.96
416 H St Anselm 9-10 -1 -1 0.26
419 A Southern New Hampshire 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.39
423 A Franklin Pierce 17- 8 9 5 0.00
426 A New Haven 14-13 1 -5 ++ 5.54
430 A Adelphi 9-15 -6 -4 -0.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
305 A Mercy 4-15 -11 -2 - -2.67
419 A Southern New Hampshire 10-14 -4 -1 - -3.39
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
426 A New Haven 14-13 1 -5 ++ 5.54
316 A Roberts Wesleyan 16-13 3 0 + 2.59
|
Assumption Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
Adelphi |
 
| |
Alabama-Huntsville |
Alabama-Huntsville |
|
 
| Alabama-Huntsville |
American International |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Anderson (SC) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Ashland |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Barton |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Belmont Abbey |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Bentley |
Bentley |
Bentley |
 
| |
Bloomsburg |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Bridgeport |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Caldwell |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Catawba |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Charleston |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Chestnut Hill |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Chowan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Coker |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Colorado Mesa |
Colorado Mesa |
|
 
| Colorado Mesa |
Colorado-Colorado Spring |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Concordia-St Paul |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Converse |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
CSU-Pueblo |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
D'Youville |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   4- 4 vs 2- 6 |
|
Daemen |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Assumption |
Davenport |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Davis & Elkins |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
District of Columbia |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Assumption |
Dominican (CA) |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Assumption |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
Dominican (NY) |
 
| |
East Stroudsburg |
East Stroudsburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
East Stroudsburg |
Edinboro |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Embry-Riddle |
Embry-Riddle |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Embry-Riddle |
Emmanuel (GA) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Emory & Henry |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Felician |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) |
Assumption |
Findlay |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Flagler |
Flagler |
|
 
| Flagler |
Florida Southern |
Florida Southern |
|
Florida Southern   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Florida Tech |
Florida Tech |
|
 
| Florida Tech |
Fort Lewis |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Franklin Pierce |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Frostburg State |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Gannon |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Georgian Court |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) |
Assumption |
Grand Valley State |
Grand Valley State |
|
 
| Grand Valley State |
Holy Family |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Assumption |
Indiana (PA) |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Indianapolis |
Indianapolis |
|
 
| Indianapolis |
Kutztown |
Kutztown |
|
Kutztown   3- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Lake Erie |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lander |
Lander |
|
 
| Lander |
Lee |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lees-McRae |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lenoir-Rhyne |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lewis |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Limestone |
Limestone |
|
 
| Limestone |
Lincoln Memorial |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lock Haven |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Lynn |
Lynn |
|
 
| Lynn |
Malone |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Mars Hill |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Maryville |
Maryville |
|
 
| Maryville |
McKendree |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Mercy |
Mercy |
Mercy |
 
| |
Millersville |
Millersville |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) |
Millersville |
Missouri Western |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Molloy |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   3- 5 vs 1- 6 |
|
Montevallo |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Mount Olive |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
New Haven |
New Haven |
|
New Haven   8- 3 vs 4- 7 |
|
Newberry |
Newberry |
|
 
| Newberry |
North Greenville |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Northern Michigan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Northwood |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Pace |
Pace |
Pace |
 
| |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
Palm Beach Atlantic |
|
 
| Palm Beach Atlantic |
Post |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Quincy |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Regis (CO) |
Regis (CO) |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Regis (CO) |
Roberts Wesleyan |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Rockhurst |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Rollins |
Rollins |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
Rollins |
Saginaw Valley State |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Seton Hill |
Seton Hill |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Seton Hill |
Shepherd |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Shippensburg |
Shippensburg |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Shippensburg |
Shorter |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Slippery Rock |
Slippery Rock |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Slippery Rock |
Southern Connecticut |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
Southern New Hampshire |
 
|
Southern Wesleyan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
St Anselm |
 
| |
St Leo |
St Leo |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
St Leo |
St Michaels |
Assumption |
Assumption |
 
| |
St Thomas Aquinas |
Assumption |
|
Assumption   3- 2 vs 0- 5 |
|
Tampa |
Tampa |
|
Tampa   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Thomas Jefferson |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) |
Assumption |
Thomas More |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Tiffin |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Tusculum |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Ursuline |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
UVA Wise |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Virginia State |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Walsh |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
West Chester |
West Chester |
West Chester |
 
| |
West Virginia Wesleyan |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Westminster (UT) |
Assumption |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Wheeling |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
William Jewell |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
Wilmington (DE) |
Assumption |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Assumption |
Wingate |
Wingate |
|
 
| Wingate |
Young Harris |
Assumption |
|
 
| Assumption |
PowerWise = 77

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.16
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A American Inter ( 2-14, 78.2) 16- 2 -21.67 9.52 0.55 1.01 10.17
0 A Mercy (10- 7, 92.6) 4-15 -7.27 23.91 0.55 1.01 -6.79
0 A West Chester (18- 0, 98.2) 11-17 -1.68 29.51 0.55 1.01 -1.13
0 A Dominican (NY) (18- 1, 95.8) 10-14 -4.05 27.13 0.55 1.01 -3.54
0 A Roberts Wesley ( 7- 8, 89.9) 16-13 -10.02 21.16 0.55 1.01 21.93
0 A Bentley (10- 6, 92.6) 9-13 -7.35 23.83 0.55 1.01 -6.86
0 H New Haven (12- 5, 94.8) 7-17 -5.06 26.12 -0.55 1.01 -5.67
0 H Pace (16- 4, 95.4) 6-20 -4.52 26.66 -0.55 1.01 -5.13
0 H St Michaels ( 6-10, 87.0) 16- 5 -12.94 18.24 -0.55 1.01 17.86
0 A Adelphi (16- 3, 94.8) 6-18 -5.11 26.07 0.55 1.01 -4.60
0 H Southern Conne ( 9- 8, 90.4) 14-12 -9.54 21.64 -0.55 1.01 21.30
0 H St Anselm (12- 6, 92.7) 9-10 -7.23 23.95 -0.55 1.01 -7.87
0 A Southern New H ( 8- 9, 90.9) 10-14 -8.99 22.19 0.55 1.01 -8.52
0 A Franklin Pierc ( 3-11, 85.3) 17- 8 -14.60 16.58 0.55 1.01 17.30
0 A New Haven (12- 5, 94.8) 14-13 -5.06 26.12 0.55 1.01 26.94
0 A Adelphi (16- 3, 94.8) 9-15 -5.11 26.07 0.55 1.01 -4.60
------
60.81
|
winning pts = 115.5115 losing points = -54.7032
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------