UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Assumption 2
  
Assumption            
W-L: ( 2- 8) PR = 84.2370

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 228 H Mercy East Coast (10- 2, 90.6) 11-13 303 A Florida Tech Sunshine ( 5- 9, 90.3) 4-19 305 A St Leo Sunshine (12- 3, 95.0) 5-21 308 H Roberts Wesleyan East Coast ( 3- 8, 84.0) 11-10 311 H American International Northeast 10 ( 1-10, 72.5) 16- 5 314 H West Chester PSAC (11- 2, 93.3) 7-17 321 H Bentley Northeast 10 ( 5- 6, 87.4) 7-14 331 A St Michaels Northeast 10 ( 2-10, 82.8) 9-10 404 H Adelphi Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 92.0) 8-14 408 A Pace Northeast 10 ( 9- 4, 91.5) 2-19 411 A Southern Connecticut Northeast 10 (10- 2, 88.7) 415 A St Anselm Northeast 10 ( 8- 4, 88.7) 418 H Southern New Hampshire Northeast 10 ( 5- 7, 85.2) 421 H Franklin Pierce Northeast 10 ( 4- 8, 84.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Mercy                  11-13      -2    -6    +      3.00
   303 A Florida Tech            4-19     -15    -6           0.00
   305 A St Leo                  5-21     -16   -11           0.00
   308 H Roberts Wesleyan       11-10       1     1           0.32
   311 H American International 16- 5      11    12           0.00
   314 H West Chester            7-17     -10    -9           0.00
   321 H Bentley                 7-14      -7    -3    -     -2.21
   331 A St Michaels             9-10      -1     1    -     -2.06
   404 H Adelphi                 8-14      -6    -7           0.00
   408 A Pace                    2-19     -17    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Bentley                 7-14      -7    -3    -     -2.21
   331 A St Michaels             9-10      -1     1    -     -2.06

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Mercy                  11-13      -2    -6    +      3.00

Assumption Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adelphi Adelphi Adelphi  
Alabama-Huntsville Alabama-Huntsville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alabama-Huntsville
American International Assumption Assumption  
Anderson (SC) Anderson (SC)   Anderson (SC)
Ashland Ashland   Ashland
Barton Assumption   Assumption
Belmont Abbey Belmont Abbey   Belmont Abbey
Bentley Bentley Bentley  
Bloomsburg Bloomsburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bloomsburg
Bridgeport Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Caldwell Assumption   Assumption
Catawba Assumption   Assumption
Charleston Charleston   Charleston
Chestnut Hill Assumption   Assumption
Chowan Assumption   Assumption
Coker Assumption tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Assumption
Colorado Mesa Colorado Mesa insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Colorado Mesa
Colorado-Colorado Spring Colorado-Colorado Spring   Colorado-Colorado Spring
Concordia-St Paul Assumption   Assumption
Converse Assumption   Assumption
CSU-Pueblo Assumption   Assumption
D'Youville Assumption insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Assumption
Daemen Assumption   Assumption
Davenport Assumption   Assumption
Davis & Elkins Assumption   Assumption
District of Columbia Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Assumption
Dominican (CA) Dominican (CA)   Dominican (CA)
Dominican (NY) Dominican (NY) insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Dominican (NY)
East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg East Stroudsburg   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Edinboro Assumption   Assumption
Embry-Riddle Embry-Riddle insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Embry-Riddle
Emmanuel (GA) Assumption   Assumption
Emory & Henry Assumption   Assumption
Felician Assumption tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Assumption
Findlay Assumption   Assumption
Flagler Flagler Flagler   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Florida Southern Florida Southern insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Florida Southern
Florida Tech Florida Tech Florida Tech  
Fort Lewis Assumption   Assumption
Franklin Pierce Assumption insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Assumption
Frostburg State Frostburg State   Frostburg State
Gannon Assumption   Assumption
Georgian Court Georgian Court insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Georgian Court
Grand Valley State Grand Valley State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grand Valley State
Holy Family Assumption   Assumption
Indiana (PA) Indiana (PA)   Indiana (PA)
Indianapolis Indianapolis   Indianapolis
Kutztown Kutztown insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Kutztown
Lake Erie Assumption   Assumption
Lander Lander insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lander
Lee Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Lees-McRae Assumption   Assumption
Lenoir-Rhyne Lenoir-Rhyne   Lenoir-Rhyne
Lewis Lewis   Lewis
Limestone Assumption   Assumption
Lincoln Memorial Assumption   Assumption
Lock Haven Lock Haven tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Lock Haven
Lynn Lynn insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lynn
Malone Assumption   Assumption
Mars Hill Assumption   Assumption
Maryville Maryville   Maryville
McKendree McKendree   McKendree
Mercy Mercy Mercy  
Millersville Millersville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Millersville
Missouri Western Missouri Western   Missouri Western
Molloy Assumption tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Assumption
Montevallo Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Mount Olive Mount Olive   Mount Olive
New Haven Assumption   Assumption
Newberry Newberry   Newberry
North Greenville Assumption   Assumption
Northern Michigan Northern Michigan   Northern Michigan
Northwood Assumption   Assumption
Pace Pace Pace  
Palm Beach Atlantic Palm Beach Atlantic tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Palm Beach Atlantic
Post Assumption   Assumption
Quincy Quincy   Quincy
Regis (CO) Regis (CO) insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Regis (CO)
Roberts Wesleyan Assumption Assumption  
Rockhurst Rockhurst   Rockhurst
Rollins Rollins insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Rollins
Saginaw Valley State Assumption   Assumption
Seton Hill Seton Hill   Seton Hill
Shepherd Assumption tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Assumption
Shippensburg Shippensburg tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Shippensburg
Shorter Assumption   Assumption
Slippery Rock Slippery Rock insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Slippery Rock
Southern Connecticut Southern Connecticut insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) Southern Connecticut
Southern New Hampshire Southern New Hampshire insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Southern New Hampshire
Southern Wesleyan Assumption   Assumption
St Anselm St Anselm St Anselm   3- 2 vs 1- 4
St Leo St Leo St Leo  
St Michaels St Michaels St Michaels  
St Thomas Aquinas Assumption Assumption   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Tampa Tampa Tampa   3- 1 vs 0- 4
Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Thomas Jefferson
Thomas More Assumption   Assumption
Tiffin Assumption   Assumption
Tusculum Assumption   Assumption
Ursuline Assumption   Assumption
UVA Wise UVA Wise   UVA Wise
Virginia State Assumption   Assumption
Walsh Assumption   Assumption
West Chester West Chester West Chester  
West Virginia Wesleyan Assumption   Assumption
Westminster (UT) Westminster (UT)   Westminster (UT)
Wheeling Assumption   Assumption
William Jewell Assumption   Assumption
Wilmington (DE) Wilmington (DE) tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wilmington (DE)
Wingate Wingate   Wingate
Young Harris Young Harris   Young Harris

PowerWise = 53


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 11.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Mercy           (10- 2, 90.6)    11-13       -9.25      23.94      -0.41         1.10           -10.66
   0 A Florida Tech    ( 5- 9, 90.3)     4-19       -9.60      23.59       0.41         1.10           -10.14
   0 A St Leo          (12- 3, 95.0)     5-21       -4.95      28.24       0.41         1.10            -5.01
   0 H Roberts Wesley  ( 3- 8, 84.0)    11-10      -15.94      17.25      -0.41         1.10            18.59
   0 H American Inter  ( 1-10, 72.5)    16- 5      -27.45       5.74      -0.41         1.10             5.89
   0 H West Chester    (11- 2, 93.3)     7-17       -6.63      26.56      -0.41         1.10            -7.76
   0 H Bentley         ( 5- 6, 87.4)     7-14      -12.46      20.73      -0.41         1.10           -14.20
   0 A St Michaels     ( 2-10, 82.8)     9-10      -17.13      16.06       0.41         1.10           -18.46
   0 H Adelphi         ( 8- 4, 92.0)     8-14       -7.92      25.27      -0.41         1.10            -9.19
   0 A Pace            ( 9- 4, 91.5)     2-19       -8.41      24.78       0.41         1.10            -8.84
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -59.78

winning pts = 24.4807 losing points = -84.2612

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------